Bitcoin, priced by opinion.

Every market is one question with two sides. Buy the outcome you believe, redeem $1.00 if you're right. Collateral and settlement in USDC on Arc.

Arc Testnet
₿

BTC above $100,000 at expiry?Live

34%
$1,240 volumeExpires in 26m
₿

BTC above $90,000 on Sunday?

61%
$8,910 volumeExpires in 2d
₿

BTC above $75,000 at end of month?

88%
$23,400 volumeExpires in 12d
₿

BTC above $85,000 in the next hour?

47%
$620 volumeExpires in 41m
₿

BTC above $120,000 before year end?

19%
$41,700 volumeExpires in 123d
₿

BTC above $95,000 on Friday close?

53%
$5,080 volumeExpires in 5d

How a market works

No house, no book. The pool holds every dollar deposited and pays it back to whoever holds the winning side.

01

Deposit

One USDC mints one Yes and one No token. Holding both leaves you flat.

02

Trade

Sell the side you disagree with. The price you get is the market's implied probability.

03

Settle

At expiry the resolver writes the BTC/USD price on chain. Above the strike, Yes wins.

04

Redeem

The winning token burns for exactly $1.00. The losing token is worth nothing.